Most of this year’s Oscar categories, especially in the major awards, seem to have a sure-thing winner. . As covered in my last post, Birdman is making a late surge at Boyhood but I think it’s too little too late for the Avian-themed film.
Two other major races of note: In the Best Director race, Boyhood’s Richard Linklater and Birdman’s Alejandro G. Iñárritu are the clear frontrunners, which makes sense since their movies are the clear front runners for Best Picture. In a perfect world, it would make sense to split the prizes, i.e. Boyhood gets picture and Birdman gets director. Even though popular consensus is Best Picture and Best Director go hand-in-hand, they have not the last two years. However, since the Oscars are a massive, semi-blind vote, I don’t think the synchronicity of a split vote will happen, and Linklater, who dedicated TWELVE YEARS OF HIS LIFE to making Boyhood, will get the statue.
The tightest race is definitely in Best Actor between Michael Keaton (Birdman) and Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything). Redmayne’s portrayal of Dr. Stephen Hawking checks off many major milestones to win Best Actor – handicap, real person, British – but Keaton has the inspiring comeback/lifetime achievement award on his side. Keaton also gave a moving acceptance speech at Golden Globes to make him more sympathetic to voters (like Matthew McConaughey last year). I’m going with Keaton, but I don’t feel at all sure about him.
My rundown for all awards:
1.) Picture: Boyhood
2.) Director: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
3.) Actor: Michael Keaton, Birdman
4.) Actress: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Note: The most shoe-in-est of all shoe-ins, I can’t see any way Moore doesn’t walk away for her portrayal of an Alzheimer’s patient.
5.) Supporting Actor: JK Simmons, Whiplash
Note: Villains often do well, especially in supporting roles and Simmons never-ending menace is what gives Whiplash its tone
6.) Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Note: A pretty weak category. The Meryl Streep factor is always present, but I think Arquette pulls it out.
7.) Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Note: Boyhood doesn’t appear to have a script and Birdman’s visual trickery detracts from the writing. GBH has the great rat-a-tat-tat dialogue.
8.) Adapted Screenplay: The Imitation Game
Note: This was a toughie. All the controversies about historical accuracies should logically DQ Imitation Game but that doesn’t seem to be the case.
9.) Best Animated Feature: Big Hero 6
Note: Lego Movie getting left out is the big snub of the year. I don’t even know two of these movies and sequels don’t really do well.
10.) Best Foreign Film: Ida
Note: A critically beloved movie plus the Nazi rule is in full affect.
11.) Cinematography: Birdman
12.) Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Note: I am uneasy giving all the design awards to GBH but all the colors were so bright in this movie compared to the drab costumes of the other movies.
13.) Documentary Feature: Citizen Four
14.) Documentary Short Subject: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
15.) Film Editing: Boyhood
Note: Birdman really should be in this category. Boyhood I guess.
16.) Makeup and Hairstyling: Grand Budapest Hotel
Note: I thought Foxcatcher’s makeup was a deterrent. GBH has Tilda Swinton’s amazing aging job.
17.) Music Score: Interstellar
Note: Nobody seems to think Interstellar will win, but I liked the score so I’m going with my foolish heart.
18.) Original Song: “Glory”, Selma
Note: The controversy over Selma’s numerous snubs makes a bone thrown here likely
19.) Production Design (aka the sets): Grand Budapest Hotel
20.) Animated Short Film: The Dam Keeper
21.) Live Action Short: The Phone Call
22.) Sound Editing: American Sniper
23.) Sound Mixing: American Sniper
Note: War movies always do well in sound categories, what with the whizzing bullets and all
24.) Visual Effects: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Enjoy the show!